Uqikelelo lwe-UNCTAD: IJapan iya kuzuza kakhulu emva kokuba i-RCEP iqala ukusebenza

Uqikelelo lwe-UNCTAD: IJapan iya kuzuza kakhulu emva kokuba i-RCEP iqala ukusebenza

Ngokwengxelo kaNihon Keizai Shimbun ngoDisemba 16, iNkomfa yeZizwe eziManyeneyo yoRhwebo kunye noPhuhliso yakhupha iziphumo zayo zokubala ngomhla we-15. Ngokumalunga neSivumelwano soQoqosho oluBanzi lweSithili (i-RCEP) esaqala ukusebenza ngoJanuwari 2022, phakathi kwamazwe angama-15 athatha inxaxheba kwisivumelwano, iJapan iya kuzuza kakhulu ekuthotyweni kwerhafu. Kulindeleke ukuba ukuthunyelwa kweJapan kumazwe angaphandle kumazwe akulo mmandla kunyuke nge-5.5% ngo-2019.

Iziphumo zokubala zibonisa ukuba, ngokukhuthazwa yimiba efanelekileyo efana nokuthotywa kwerhafu, urhwebo phakathi kommandla kulindeleke ukuba lunyuke nge-US$42 yeebhiliyoni. Malunga nama-25 eebhiliyoni zeedola zaseMelika koku sisiphumo sokutshintsha ukusuka ngaphandle kommandla ukuya ngaphakathi kommandla. Kwangaxeshanye, ukusayinwa kwe-RCEP kwazala i-17 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zaseMelika kurhwebo olutsha.

Ingxelo yabonisa ukuba i-48% yokwanda kwexabiso lorhwebo lwangaphakathi kwi-US $ 42 yebhiliyoni, okanye malunga ne-US $ 20 yebhiliyoni, iya kunceda iJapan. Ukususwa kwamaxabiso kumalungu eemoto, iimveliso zentsimbi, iimveliso zemichiza kunye nezinye iimveliso kubangele amazwe akulo mmandla ukuba angenise iimveliso zaseJapan ezininzi.

INkomfa yeZizwe eziManyeneyo yoRhwebo kunye noPhuhliso ikholelwa ukuba nakwimeko yobhubhani omtsha wesithsaba, urhwebo lwangaphakathi lwe-RCEP aluchaphazeleki kangako, lugxininisa ukubaluleka kokufikelela kwisivumelwano sorhwebo samazwe amaninzi.

Ngokutsho kwengxelo, i-RCEP sisivumelwano samazwe amaninzi esifikelelwe yiJapan, iChina, iSouth Korea, i-ASEAN kunye namanye amazwe, kwaye malunga ne-90% yeemveliso ziya kufumana unyango lwe-zero-tariff. I-GDP iyonke yamazwe ali-15 kulo mmandla ithatha malunga ne-30% yetotali yehlabathi.